ALGORITHMIC INTELLIGENCE
Our algorithm scans the entire prospect class to find the biggest disconnects between statistical profiles and draft stock. Surface production outliers, athletic freaks, data-driven bust alerts, late bloomers, and small-school gems that consensus boards miss.
// SCANNING PROSPECT DATABASE...
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 99 despite #65 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at CB reach the Pro Bowl at a 12% rate (avg 5.7 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#65
SHOULD BE
#46
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 99 despite #69 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at RB reach the Pro Bowl at a 17% rate (avg 6.4 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#69
SHOULD BE
#50
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 99 despite #82 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at WR reach the Pro Bowl at a 15% rate (avg 5.8 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#82
SHOULD BE
#63
// OUTLIER STAT
Dual-threat QB with 99 athleticism (rank #116)
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at QB reach the Pro Bowl at a 26% rate (avg 8.6 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#116
SHOULD BE
#97
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 99 despite #145 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at WR reach the Pro Bowl at a 15% rate (avg 5.8 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#145
SHOULD BE
#126
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 99 despite #146 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at WR reach the Pro Bowl at a 15% rate (avg 5.8 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#146
SHOULD BE
#127
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 99 despite #231 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at S reach the Pro Bowl at a 11% rate (avg 5.2 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#231
SHOULD BE
#212
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 99 despite #255 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at DT reach the Pro Bowl at a 9% rate (avg 6.5 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#255
SHOULD BE
#236
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 99 despite #265 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at DT reach the Pro Bowl at a 9% rate (avg 6.5 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#265
SHOULD BE
#246
// OUTLIER STAT
78" tall with 99 athleticism — rare athletic tackle (rank #277)
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at OT reach the Pro Bowl at a 11% rate (avg 7.4 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#277
SHOULD BE
#258
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 99 despite #361 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at DT reach the Pro Bowl at a 9% rate (avg 6.5 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#361
SHOULD BE
#342
// OUTLIER STAT
7 pressures allowed on 342 pass-block snaps (2.0%)
// FILM GRADE
100.0% pass-block efficiency on 342 snaps — countable film events: 7 pressures, 1 sacks
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite OTs become starters at a 32% rate (avg 3.6 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#242
SHOULD BE
#223
// OUTLIER STAT
4 pressures allowed on 369 pass-block snaps (1.1%)
// FILM GRADE
100.0% pass-block efficiency on 369 snaps — countable film events: 4 pressures, 0 sacks
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite OTs become starters at a 32% rate (avg 3.6 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#260
SHOULD BE
#241
// OUTLIER STAT
12 pressures allowed on 457 pass-block snaps (2.6%)
// FILM GRADE
100.0% pass-block efficiency on 457 snaps — countable film events: 12 pressures, 0 sacks
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite OTs become starters at a 32% rate (avg 3.6 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#261
SHOULD BE
#242
// OUTLIER STAT
13 pressures allowed on 429 pass-block snaps (3.0%)
// FILM GRADE
100.0% pass-block efficiency on 429 snaps — countable film events: 13 pressures, 3 sacks
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite OTs become starters at a 32% rate (avg 3.6 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#263
SHOULD BE
#244
// OUTLIER STAT
4 pressures allowed on 279 pass-block snaps (1.4%)
// FILM GRADE
100.0% pass-block efficiency on 279 snaps — countable film events: 4 pressures, 0 sacks
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite OTs become starters at a 32% rate (avg 3.6 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#270
SHOULD BE
#251
// OUTLIER STAT
16 pressures allowed on 354 pass-block snaps (4.5%)
// FILM GRADE
100.0% pass-block efficiency on 354 snaps — countable film events: 16 pressures, 2 sacks
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite OTs become starters at a 32% rate (avg 3.6 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#277
SHOULD BE
#258
// OUTLIER STAT
20 pressures allowed on 283 pass-block snaps (7.1%)
// FILM GRADE
100.0% pass-block efficiency on 283 snaps — countable film events: 20 pressures, 2 sacks
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite OTs become starters at a 32% rate (avg 3.6 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#287
SHOULD BE
#268
// OUTLIER STAT
27 pressures allowed on 481 pass-block snaps (5.6%)
// FILM GRADE
100.0% pass-block efficiency on 481 snaps — countable film events: 27 pressures, 9 sacks
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite OTs become starters at a 32% rate (avg 3.6 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#296
SHOULD BE
#277
// OUTLIER STAT
16 pressures allowed on 302 pass-block snaps (5.3%)
// FILM GRADE
100.0% pass-block efficiency on 302 snaps — countable film events: 16 pressures, 1 sacks
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite OTs become starters at a 32% rate (avg 3.6 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#299
SHOULD BE
#280
// OUTLIER STAT
5 pressures allowed on 400 pass-block snaps (1.3%)
// FILM GRADE
100.0% pass-block efficiency on 400 snaps — countable film events: 5 pressures, 0 sacks
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite OTs become starters at a 32% rate (avg 3.6 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#304
SHOULD BE
#285
// OUTLIER STAT
11 pressures allowed on 403 pass-block snaps (2.7%)
// FILM GRADE
100.0% pass-block efficiency on 403 snaps — countable film events: 11 pressures, 0 sacks
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite IOLs become starters at a 47% rate (avg 3.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#332
SHOULD BE
#313
// OUTLIER STAT
11 pressures allowed on 417 pass-block snaps (2.6%)
// FILM GRADE
100.0% pass-block efficiency on 417 snaps — countable film events: 11 pressures, 1 sacks
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite IOLs become starters at a 47% rate (avg 3.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#348
SHOULD BE
#329
// OUTLIER STAT
13 pressures allowed on 401 pass-block snaps (3.2%)
// FILM GRADE
100.0% pass-block efficiency on 401 snaps — countable film events: 13 pressures, 0 sacks
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite IOLs become starters at a 47% rate (avg 3.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#377
SHOULD BE
#358
// OUTLIER STAT
20 pressures allowed on 331 pass-block snaps (6.0%)
// FILM GRADE
100.0% pass-block efficiency on 331 snaps — countable film events: 20 pressures, 3 sacks
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite OTs become starters at a 32% rate (avg 3.6 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#380
SHOULD BE
#361
// OUTLIER STAT
18 pressures allowed on 444 pass-block snaps (4.1%)
// FILM GRADE
100.0% pass-block efficiency on 444 snaps — countable film events: 18 pressures, 1 sacks
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite IOLs become starters at a 47% rate (avg 3.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#386
SHOULD BE
#367
// OUTLIER STAT
6 pressures allowed on 361 pass-block snaps (1.7%)
// FILM GRADE
100.0% pass-block efficiency on 361 snaps — countable film events: 6 pressures, 2 sacks
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite IOLs become starters at a 47% rate (avg 3.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#404
SHOULD BE
#385
// OUTLIER STAT
48.8% of yards on runs of 15+ on 166 carries
// FILM GRADE
22 forced missed tackles, 464 breakaway yards on tape — creates yards independent of blocking
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite RBs become starters at a 18% rate (avg 2.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#341
SHOULD BE
#322
// OUTLIER STAT
39 forced missed tackles on 86 touches (45.3%)
// FILM GRADE
Forces a missed tackle on roughly 1 of every 2.2 touches — countable film events: 39 on rush, 0 on receptions
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite RBs become starters at a 18% rate (avg 2.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#399
SHOULD BE
#380
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 97 despite #363 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production Ps become starters at a 31% rate (avg 1.9 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#363
SHOULD BE
#344
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 96 despite #96 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at EDGE reach the Pro Bowl at a 14% rate (avg 6.1 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#96
SHOULD BE
#77
// OUTLIER STAT
0.10 yards allowed per coverage snap on 169 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 3/4 for 11 yards across 169 coverage snaps — 0 INTs, 0 PBUs, 77.1 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite LBs become starters at a 24% rate (avg 2.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#300
SHOULD BE
#281
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 95 despite #153 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production OTs become starters at a 32% rate (avg 3.6 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#153
SHOULD BE
#134
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 95 despite #298 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production EDGEs become starters at a 31% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#298
SHOULD BE
#279
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 95 despite #410 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production Ps become starters at a 31% rate (avg 1.9 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#410
SHOULD BE
#391
// OUTLIER STAT
53 forced missed tackles on 151 touches (35.1%)
// FILM GRADE
Forces a missed tackle on roughly 1 of every 2.8 touches — countable film events: 40 on rush, 13 on receptions
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite RBs become starters at a 18% rate (avg 2.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#402
SHOULD BE
#383
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 94 despite #270 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production OTs become starters at a 32% rate (avg 3.6 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#270
SHOULD BE
#252
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 94 despite #80 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at IOL reach the Pro Bowl at a 17% rate (avg 6.1 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#80
SHOULD BE
#62
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 94 despite #100 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at IOL reach the Pro Bowl at a 17% rate (avg 6.1 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#100
SHOULD BE
#82
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 94 despite #101 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at EDGE reach the Pro Bowl at a 14% rate (avg 6.1 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#101
SHOULD BE
#83
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 94 despite #325 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at DT reach the Pro Bowl at a 9% rate (avg 6.5 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#325
SHOULD BE
#307
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 94 despite #353 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at DT reach the Pro Bowl at a 9% rate (avg 6.5 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#353
SHOULD BE
#335
// OUTLIER STAT
4.25 yards after contact per attempt on 152 carries
// FILM GRADE
33 forced missed tackles, 639 breakaway yards on tape — creates yards independent of blocking
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite RBs become starters at a 18% rate (avg 2.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#229
SHOULD BE
#211
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 93 despite #65 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production CBs become starters at a 21% rate (avg 2.4 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#65
SHOULD BE
#47
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 93 despite #279 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production QBs become starters at a 48% rate (avg 4.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#279
SHOULD BE
#261
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 93 despite #73 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at WR reach the Pro Bowl at a 15% rate (avg 5.8 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#73
SHOULD BE
#55
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 93 despite #142 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at CB reach the Pro Bowl at a 12% rate (avg 5.7 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#142
SHOULD BE
#124
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 93 despite #226 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at S reach the Pro Bowl at a 11% rate (avg 5.2 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#226
SHOULD BE
#208
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 93 despite #254 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at DT reach the Pro Bowl at a 9% rate (avg 6.5 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#254
SHOULD BE
#236
// OUTLIER STAT
0.20 yards allowed per coverage snap on 358 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 11/17 for 81 yards across 358 coverage snaps — 4 INTs, 1 PBUs, 55.9 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite CBs become starters at a 21% rate (avg 2.4 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#228
SHOULD BE
#210
// OUTLIER STAT
28 forced missed tackles on 84 touches (33.3%)
// FILM GRADE
Forces a missed tackle on roughly 1 of every 3.0 touches — countable film events: 9 on rush, 19 on receptions
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite WRs become starters at a 27% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#379
SHOULD BE
#361
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 92 despite #284 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production LBs become starters at a 24% rate (avg 2.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#284
SHOULD BE
#266
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 92 despite #352 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production Ks become starters at a 38% rate (avg 2.1 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#352
SHOULD BE
#334
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 92 despite #70 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at S reach the Pro Bowl at a 11% rate (avg 5.2 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#70
SHOULD BE
#52
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 92 despite #134 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at OT reach the Pro Bowl at a 11% rate (avg 7.4 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#134
SHOULD BE
#116
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 92 despite #149 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at DT reach the Pro Bowl at a 9% rate (avg 6.5 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#149
SHOULD BE
#131
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 91 despite #104 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production IOLs become starters at a 47% rate (avg 3.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#104
SHOULD BE
#86
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 91 despite #169 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production EDGEs become starters at a 31% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#169
SHOULD BE
#151
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 91 despite #403 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production Ks become starters at a 38% rate (avg 2.1 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#403
SHOULD BE
#385
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 91 despite #210 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at EDGE reach the Pro Bowl at a 14% rate (avg 6.1 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#210
SHOULD BE
#192
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 90 despite #188 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production Ss become starters at a 30% rate (avg 1.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#188
SHOULD BE
#170
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 90 despite #237 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production RBs become starters at a 18% rate (avg 2.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#237
SHOULD BE
#219
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 90 despite #406 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production Ps become starters at a 31% rate (avg 1.9 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#406
SHOULD BE
#388
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 90 despite #409 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production Ks become starters at a 38% rate (avg 2.1 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#409
SHOULD BE
#391
// OUTLIER STAT
0.30 yards allowed per coverage snap on 339 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 12/19 for 100 yards across 339 coverage snaps — 2 INTs, 0 PBUs, 54.6 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite Ss become starters at a 30% rate (avg 1.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#177
SHOULD BE
#159
// OUTLIER STAT
25 big-time throws on 406 dropbacks (6.9% BTT, 2.5% TWP)
// FILM GRADE
25 big-time throws against 11 turnover-worthy plays on 406 dropbacks — high-end NFL arm talent on tape
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite QBs become starters at a 48% rate (avg 4.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#279
SHOULD BE
#261
// OUTLIER STAT
3.77 yards after contact per attempt on 210 carries
// FILM GRADE
57 forced missed tackles, 527 breakaway yards on tape — creates yards independent of blocking
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite RBs become starters at a 18% rate (avg 2.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#147
SHOULD BE
#129
// OUTLIER STAT
3.73 yards after contact per attempt on 116 carries
// FILM GRADE
26 forced missed tackles, 362 breakaway yards on tape — creates yards independent of blocking
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite RBs become starters at a 18% rate (avg 2.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#278
SHOULD BE
#260
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 89 despite #101 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production EDGEs become starters at a 31% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#101
SHOULD BE
#84
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 89 despite #158 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production IOLs become starters at a 47% rate (avg 3.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#158
SHOULD BE
#141
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 89 despite #177 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production Ss become starters at a 30% rate (avg 1.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#177
SHOULD BE
#160
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 89 despite #238 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production QBs become starters at a 48% rate (avg 4.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#238
SHOULD BE
#221
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 89 despite #257 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production OTs become starters at a 32% rate (avg 3.6 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#257
SHOULD BE
#240
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 89 despite #357 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production CBs become starters at a 21% rate (avg 2.4 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#357
SHOULD BE
#340
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 89 despite #373 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production EDGEs become starters at a 31% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#373
SHOULD BE
#356
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 89 despite #394 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production WRs become starters at a 27% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#394
SHOULD BE
#377
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 89 despite #167 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at WR reach the Pro Bowl at a 15% rate (avg 5.8 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#167
SHOULD BE
#150
// OUTLIER STAT
Athleticism score 89 despite #182 consensus
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Athletic outliers at LB reach the Pro Bowl at a 13% rate (avg 6.5 AV/yr for Pro Bowlers)
CONSENSUS RANK
#182
SHOULD BE
#165
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 88 despite #228 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production CBs become starters at a 21% rate (avg 2.4 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#228
SHOULD BE
#211
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 88 despite #255 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production DTs become starters at a 26% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#255
SHOULD BE
#238
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 88 despite #263 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production OTs become starters at a 32% rate (avg 3.6 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#263
SHOULD BE
#246
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 88 despite #278 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production RBs become starters at a 18% rate (avg 2.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#278
SHOULD BE
#261
// OUTLIER STAT
2.80 yards per route run on 230 routes
// FILM GRADE
Earns 2.80 yards every time he runs a route — elite route-running density on a 230-route sample
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite WRs become starters at a 27% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#168
SHOULD BE
#151
// OUTLIER STAT
2.77 yards per route run on 279 routes
// FILM GRADE
Earns 2.77 yards every time he runs a route — elite route-running density on a 279-route sample
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite WRs become starters at a 27% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#379
SHOULD BE
#362
// OUTLIER STAT
27.6% pass-rush win rate, 51 total pressures on 280 pass-rush snaps
// FILM GRADE
Generated 51 pressures on 280 pass-rush reps — countable film events: 12 sacks, 3 hits, 36 hurries
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite DTs become starters at a 26% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#255
SHOULD BE
#238
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 87 despite #124 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production CBs become starters at a 21% rate (avg 2.4 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#124
SHOULD BE
#107
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 87 despite #129 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production Ss become starters at a 30% rate (avg 1.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#129
SHOULD BE
#112
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 87 despite #147 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production RBs become starters at a 18% rate (avg 2.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#147
SHOULD BE
#130
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 87 despite #240 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production QBs become starters at a 48% rate (avg 4.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#240
SHOULD BE
#223
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 87 despite #249 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production QBs become starters at a 48% rate (avg 4.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#249
SHOULD BE
#232
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 87 despite #337 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production EDGEs become starters at a 31% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#337
SHOULD BE
#320
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 87 despite #344 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production EDGEs become starters at a 31% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#344
SHOULD BE
#327
// OUTLIER STAT
2.68 yards per route run on 354 routes
// FILM GRADE
Earns 2.68 yards every time he runs a route — elite route-running density on a 354-route sample
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite WRs become starters at a 27% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#145
SHOULD BE
#128
// OUTLIER STAT
2.71 yards per route run on 407 routes
// FILM GRADE
Earns 2.71 yards every time he runs a route — elite route-running density on a 407-route sample
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite WRs become starters at a 27% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#264
SHOULD BE
#247
// OUTLIER STAT
2.65 yards per route run on 310 routes
// FILM GRADE
Earns 2.65 yards every time he runs a route — elite route-running density on a 310-route sample
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite WRs become starters at a 27% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#394
SHOULD BE
#377
// OUTLIER STAT
0.40 yards allowed per coverage snap on 346 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 18/42 for 142 yards across 346 coverage snaps — 1 INTs, 6 PBUs, 42.0 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite CBs become starters at a 21% rate (avg 2.4 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#65
SHOULD BE
#48
// OUTLIER STAT
0.40 yards allowed per coverage snap on 289 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 17/34 for 104 yards across 289 coverage snaps — 2 INTs, 4 PBUs, 41.8 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite Ss become starters at a 30% rate (avg 1.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#129
SHOULD BE
#112
// OUTLIER STAT
0.40 yards allowed per coverage snap on 364 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 17/27 for 141 yards across 364 coverage snaps — 5 INTs, 2 PBUs, 36.7 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite Ss become starters at a 30% rate (avg 1.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#206
SHOULD BE
#189
// OUTLIER STAT
0.40 yards allowed per coverage snap on 427 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 19/26 for 143 yards across 427 coverage snaps — 0 INTs, 3 PBUs, 85.9 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite Ss become starters at a 30% rate (avg 1.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#239
SHOULD BE
#222
// OUTLIER STAT
0.40 yards allowed per coverage snap on 214 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 8/13 for 83 yards across 214 coverage snaps — 0 INTs, 1 PBUs, 80.0 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite LBs become starters at a 24% rate (avg 2.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#346
SHOULD BE
#329
// OUTLIER STAT
62 forced missed tackles on 228 touches (27.2%)
// FILM GRADE
Forces a missed tackle on roughly 1 of every 3.7 touches — countable film events: 57 on rush, 5 on receptions
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite RBs become starters at a 18% rate (avg 2.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#147
SHOULD BE
#130
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 86 despite #139 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production WRs become starters at a 27% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#139
SHOULD BE
#122
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 86 despite #217 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production DTs become starters at a 26% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#217
SHOULD BE
#200
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 86 despite #224 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production Ss become starters at a 30% rate (avg 1.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#224
SHOULD BE
#207
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 86 despite #303 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production CBs become starters at a 21% rate (avg 2.4 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#303
SHOULD BE
#286
// OUTLIER STAT
Production score 86 despite #402 consensus rank
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round high-production RBs become starters at a 18% rate (avg 2.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#402
SHOULD BE
#385
// OUTLIER STAT
26.4% pass-rush win rate, 53 total pressures on 306 pass-rush snaps
// FILM GRADE
Generated 53 pressures on 306 pass-rush reps — countable film events: 12 sacks, 5 hits, 36 hurries
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite EDGEs become starters at a 31% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#298
SHOULD BE
#281
// OUTLIER STAT
18 big-time throws on 293 dropbacks (6.4% BTT, 3.6% TWP)
// FILM GRADE
18 big-time throws against 11 turnover-worthy plays on 293 dropbacks — high-end NFL arm talent on tape
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite QBs become starters at a 48% rate (avg 4.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#204
SHOULD BE
#187
// OUTLIER STAT
28 forced missed tackles on 113 touches (24.8%)
// FILM GRADE
Forces a missed tackle on roughly 1 of every 4.0 touches — countable film events: 21 on rush, 7 on receptions
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite RBs become starters at a 18% rate (avg 2.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#237
SHOULD BE
#220
// OUTLIER STAT
29 forced missed tackles on 115 touches (25.2%)
// FILM GRADE
Forces a missed tackle on roughly 1 of every 4.0 touches — countable film events: 23 on rush, 6 on receptions
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite RBs become starters at a 18% rate (avg 2.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#281
SHOULD BE
#264
// OUTLIER STAT
23.5% pass-rush win rate, 66 total pressures on 354 pass-rush snaps
// FILM GRADE
Generated 66 pressures on 354 pass-rush reps — countable film events: 9 sacks, 9 hits, 48 hurries
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite EDGEs become starters at a 31% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#344
SHOULD BE
#328
// OUTLIER STAT
0.50 yards allowed per coverage snap on 298 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 20/26 for 141 yards across 298 coverage snaps — 0 INTs, 2 PBUs, 88.8 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite LBs become starters at a 24% rate (avg 2.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#220
SHOULD BE
#204
// OUTLIER STAT
0.50 yards allowed per coverage snap on 273 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 19/31 for 147 yards across 273 coverage snaps — 1 INTs, 0 PBUs, 59.5 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite LBs become starters at a 24% rate (avg 2.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#230
SHOULD BE
#214
// OUTLIER STAT
0.50 yards allowed per coverage snap on 161 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 12/15 for 77 yards across 161 coverage snaps — 0 INTs, 0 PBUs, 88.1 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite LBs become starters at a 24% rate (avg 2.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#324
SHOULD BE
#308
// OUTLIER STAT
0.50 yards allowed per coverage snap on 304 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 20/30 for 135 yards across 304 coverage snaps — 1 INTs, 1 PBUs, 62.5 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite LBs become starters at a 24% rate (avg 2.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#334
SHOULD BE
#318
// OUTLIER STAT
0.50 yards allowed per coverage snap on 402 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 17/21 for 190 yards across 402 coverage snaps — 1 INTs, 0 PBUs, 100.4 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite Ss become starters at a 30% rate (avg 1.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#355
SHOULD BE
#339
// OUTLIER STAT
22.5% pass-rush win rate, 56 total pressures on 298 pass-rush snaps
// FILM GRADE
Generated 56 pressures on 298 pass-rush reps — countable film events: 8 sacks, 9 hits, 39 hurries
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite EDGEs become starters at a 31% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#101
SHOULD BE
#85
// OUTLIER STAT
41 forced missed tackles on 176 touches (23.3%)
// FILM GRADE
Forces a missed tackle on roughly 1 of every 4.3 touches — countable film events: 32 on rush, 9 on receptions
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite RBs become starters at a 18% rate (avg 2.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#148
SHOULD BE
#132
// OUTLIER STAT
40 forced missed tackles on 175 touches (22.9%)
// FILM GRADE
Forces a missed tackle on roughly 1 of every 4.4 touches — countable film events: 32 on rush, 8 on receptions
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite RBs become starters at a 18% rate (avg 2.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#154
SHOULD BE
#138
// OUTLIER STAT
82 overall grade from Western Michigan (ranked #255)
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
G5/non-power DTs become starters at a 27% rate (avg 2.9 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#255
SHOULD BE
#239
// OUTLIER STAT
North Dakota State (FCS) — 78 overall, 85 production, 82 athleticism
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Non-FBS prospects at WR face a steep level-of-competition jump, but those drafted historically convert at lower rates than FBS peers
CONSENSUS RANK
#95
SHOULD BE
#79
// OUTLIER STAT
2.23 yards per route run on 292 routes
// FILM GRADE
Earns 2.23 yards every time he runs a route — elite route-running density on a 292-route sample
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite TEs become starters at a 34% rate (avg 1.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#213
SHOULD BE
#197
// OUTLIER STAT
9 of 11 contested catches won (81.8%)
// FILM GRADE
Wins 9 out of 11 contested-ball situations on film — pure 50/50 ball production
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite WRs become starters at a 27% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#139
SHOULD BE
#123
// OUTLIER STAT
37 forced missed tackles on 169 touches (21.9%)
// FILM GRADE
Forces a missed tackle on roughly 1 of every 4.6 touches — countable film events: 33 on rush, 4 on receptions
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite RBs become starters at a 18% rate (avg 2.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#229
SHOULD BE
#213
// OUTLIER STAT
0.60 yards allowed per coverage snap on 344 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 21/29 for 203 yards across 344 coverage snaps — 0 INTs, 2 PBUs, 103.1 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite LBs become starters at a 24% rate (avg 2.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#150
SHOULD BE
#134
// OUTLIER STAT
0.60 yards allowed per coverage snap on 290 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 17/25 for 157 yards across 290 coverage snaps — 5 INTs, 3 PBUs, 84.9 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite Ss become starters at a 30% rate (avg 1.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#188
SHOULD BE
#172
// OUTLIER STAT
0.60 yards allowed per coverage snap on 368 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 28/35 for 212 yards across 368 coverage snaps — 0 INTs, 1 PBUs, 101.4 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite LBs become starters at a 24% rate (avg 2.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#199
SHOULD BE
#183
// OUTLIER STAT
0.60 yards allowed per coverage snap on 212 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 18/29 for 114 yards across 212 coverage snaps — 0 INTs, 1 PBUs, 70.2 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite LBs become starters at a 24% rate (avg 2.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#203
SHOULD BE
#187
// OUTLIER STAT
0.60 yards allowed per coverage snap on 389 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 25/45 for 206 yards across 389 coverage snaps — 4 INTs, 5 PBUs, 37.8 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite Ss become starters at a 30% rate (avg 1.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#224
SHOULD BE
#208
// OUTLIER STAT
0.60 yards allowed per coverage snap on 355 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 15/24 for 196 yards across 355 coverage snaps — 1 INTs, 0 PBUs, 84.7 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite CBs become starters at a 21% rate (avg 2.4 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#280
SHOULD BE
#264
// OUTLIER STAT
0.60 yards allowed per coverage snap on 265 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 21/31 for 139 yards across 265 coverage snaps — 0 INTs, 2 PBUs, 88.0 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite LBs become starters at a 24% rate (avg 2.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#283
SHOULD BE
#267
// OUTLIER STAT
0.60 yards allowed per coverage snap on 380 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 18/25 for 219 yards across 380 coverage snaps — 0 INTs, 2 PBUs, 125.3 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite LBs become starters at a 24% rate (avg 2.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#284
SHOULD BE
#268
// OUTLIER STAT
0.60 yards allowed per coverage snap on 300 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 31/39 for 187 yards across 300 coverage snaps — 0 INTs, 0 PBUs, 86.6 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite LBs become starters at a 24% rate (avg 2.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#292
SHOULD BE
#276
// OUTLIER STAT
0.60 yards allowed per coverage snap on 234 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 13/32 for 136 yards across 234 coverage snaps — 0 INTs, 5 PBUs, 53.6 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite CBs become starters at a 21% rate (avg 2.4 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#301
SHOULD BE
#285
// OUTLIER STAT
0.60 yards allowed per coverage snap on 306 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 17/22 for 159 yards across 306 coverage snaps — 3 INTs, 1 PBUs, 72.2 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite LBs become starters at a 24% rate (avg 2.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#362
SHOULD BE
#346
// OUTLIER STAT
0.60 yards allowed per coverage snap on 500 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 28/41 for 291 yards across 500 coverage snaps — 5 INTs, 1 PBUs, 88.6 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite CBs become starters at a 21% rate (avg 2.4 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#370
SHOULD BE
#354
// OUTLIER STAT
0.60 yards allowed per coverage snap on 355 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 16/22 for 218 yards across 355 coverage snaps — 1 INTs, 5 PBUs, 100.2 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite Ss become starters at a 30% rate (avg 1.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#400
SHOULD BE
#384
// OUTLIER STAT
8 of 10 contested catches won (80.0%)
// FILM GRADE
Wins 8 out of 10 contested-ball situations on film — pure 50/50 ball production
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite WRs become starters at a 27% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#252
SHOULD BE
#236
// OUTLIER STAT
8 of 10 contested catches won (80.0%)
// FILM GRADE
Wins 8 out of 10 contested-ball situations on film — pure 50/50 ball production
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite WRs become starters at a 27% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#359
SHOULD BE
#343
// OUTLIER STAT
20.4% pass-rush win rate, 32 total pressures on 201 pass-rush snaps
// FILM GRADE
Generated 32 pressures on 201 pass-rush reps — countable film events: 3 sacks, 2 hits, 27 hurries
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite EDGEs become starters at a 31% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#274
SHOULD BE
#258
// OUTLIER STAT
17 forced missed tackles on 84 touches (20.2%)
// FILM GRADE
Forces a missed tackle on roughly 1 of every 4.9 touches — countable film events: 12 on rush, 5 on receptions
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite RBs become starters at a 18% rate (avg 2.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#320
SHOULD BE
#304
// OUTLIER STAT
North Dakota State (FCS) — 74 overall, 85 production, 79 athleticism
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Non-FBS prospects at QB face a steep level-of-competition jump, but those drafted historically convert at lower rates than FBS peers
CONSENSUS RANK
#155
SHOULD BE
#140
// OUTLIER STAT
1.88 yards per route run on 274 routes
// FILM GRADE
Earns 1.88 yards every time he runs a route — elite route-running density on a 274-route sample
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite TEs become starters at a 34% rate (avg 1.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#234
SHOULD BE
#219
// OUTLIER STAT
1.89 yards per route run on 211 routes
// FILM GRADE
Earns 1.89 yards every time he runs a route — elite route-running density on a 211-route sample
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite TEs become starters at a 34% rate (avg 1.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#367
SHOULD BE
#352
// OUTLIER STAT
17.7% pass-rush win rate, 41 total pressures on 278 pass-rush snaps
// FILM GRADE
Generated 41 pressures on 278 pass-rush reps — countable film events: 6 sacks, 10 hits, 25 hurries
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite DTs become starters at a 26% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#254
SHOULD BE
#239
// OUTLIER STAT
0.70 yards allowed per coverage snap on 268 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 17/30 for 189 yards across 268 coverage snaps — 2 INTs, 3 PBUs, 70.0 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite CBs become starters at a 21% rate (avg 2.4 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#124
SHOULD BE
#109
// OUTLIER STAT
0.70 yards allowed per coverage snap on 316 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 20/42 for 194 yards across 316 coverage snaps — 2 INTs, 1 PBUs, 57.0 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite CBs become starters at a 21% rate (avg 2.4 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#190
SHOULD BE
#175
// OUTLIER STAT
0.70 yards allowed per coverage snap on 321 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 23/32 for 231 yards across 321 coverage snaps — 0 INTs, 1 PBUs, 102.5 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite LBs become starters at a 24% rate (avg 2.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#258
SHOULD BE
#243
// OUTLIER STAT
0.70 yards allowed per coverage snap on 358 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 20/48 for 237 yards across 358 coverage snaps — 1 INTs, 8 PBUs, 55.6 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite CBs become starters at a 21% rate (avg 2.4 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#303
SHOULD BE
#288
// OUTLIER STAT
0.70 yards allowed per coverage snap on 412 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 18/42 for 252 yards across 412 coverage snaps — 0 INTs, 11 PBUs, 70.7 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite CBs become starters at a 21% rate (avg 2.4 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#357
SHOULD BE
#342
// OUTLIER STAT
15.9% pass-rush win rate, 45 total pressures on 292 pass-rush snaps
// FILM GRADE
Generated 45 pressures on 292 pass-rush reps — countable film events: 6 sacks, 7 hits, 32 hurries
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite DTs become starters at a 26% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#265
SHOULD BE
#250
// OUTLIER STAT
15.6% pass-rush win rate, 34 total pressures on 255 pass-rush snaps
// FILM GRADE
Generated 34 pressures on 255 pass-rush reps — countable film events: 5 sacks, 8 hits, 21 hurries
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite DTs become starters at a 26% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#267
SHOULD BE
#252
// OUTLIER STAT
15.9% pass-rush win rate, 20 total pressures on 298 pass-rush snaps
// FILM GRADE
Generated 20 pressures on 298 pass-rush reps — countable film events: 5 sacks, 7 hits, 8 hurries
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite DTs become starters at a 26% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#290
SHOULD BE
#275
// OUTLIER STAT
6 of 8 contested catches won (75.0%)
// FILM GRADE
Wins 6 out of 8 contested-ball situations on film — pure 50/50 ball production
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite WRs become starters at a 27% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#331
SHOULD BE
#316
// OUTLIER STAT
0.80 yards allowed per coverage snap on 461 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 39/68 for 324 yards across 461 coverage snaps — 1 INTs, 4 PBUs, 88.1 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite CBs become starters at a 21% rate (avg 2.4 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#159
SHOULD BE
#144
// OUTLIER STAT
0.80 yards allowed per coverage snap on 365 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 26/55 for 263 yards across 365 coverage snaps — 1 INTs, 9 PBUs, 59.9 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite CBs become starters at a 21% rate (avg 2.4 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#327
SHOULD BE
#312
// OUTLIER STAT
0.80 yards allowed per coverage snap on 288 cover snaps
// FILM GRADE
Allowed 21/36 for 219 yards across 288 coverage snaps — 1 INTs, 2 PBUs, 83.0 opposing QB rating
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite CBs become starters at a 21% rate (avg 2.4 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#391
SHOULD BE
#376
// OUTLIER STAT
17 of 23 contested catches won (73.9%)
// FILM GRADE
Wins 17 out of 23 contested-ball situations on film — pure 50/50 ball production
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite TEs become starters at a 34% rate (avg 1.7 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#213
SHOULD BE
#199
// OUTLIER STAT
13.7% pass-rush win rate, 19 total pressures on 211 pass-rush snaps
// FILM GRADE
Generated 19 pressures on 211 pass-rush reps — countable film events: 0 sacks, 6 hits, 13 hurries
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite DTs become starters at a 26% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#349
SHOULD BE
#335
// OUTLIER STAT
14.2% pass-rush win rate, 26 total pressures on 214 pass-rush snaps
// FILM GRADE
Generated 26 pressures on 214 pass-rush reps — countable film events: 3 sacks, 3 hits, 20 hurries
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite DTs become starters at a 26% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#353
SHOULD BE
#339
// OUTLIER STAT
12.4% pass-rush win rate, 23 total pressures on 277 pass-rush snaps
// FILM GRADE
Generated 23 pressures on 277 pass-rush reps — countable film events: 3 sacks, 11 hits, 9 hurries
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite DTs become starters at a 26% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#251
SHOULD BE
#237
// OUTLIER STAT
11.8% pass-rush win rate, 38 total pressures on 310 pass-rush snaps
// FILM GRADE
Generated 38 pressures on 310 pass-rush reps — countable film events: 3 sacks, 11 hits, 24 hurries
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite DTs become starters at a 26% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#325
SHOULD BE
#311
// OUTLIER STAT
5 of 8 contested catches won (62.5%)
// FILM GRADE
Wins 5 out of 8 contested-ball situations on film — pure 50/50 ball production
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Late-round film-elite WRs become starters at a 27% rate (avg 2.8 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#168
SHOULD BE
#156
// OUTLIER STAT
John Carroll (D3) — 50 overall, 41 production, 60 athleticism
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Non-FBS prospects at WR face a steep level-of-competition jump, but those drafted historically convert at lower rates than FBS peers
CONSENSUS RANK
#250
SHOULD BE
#238
// OUTLIER STAT
John Carroll (D3) — 50 overall, 45 production, 55 athleticism
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Non-FBS prospects at WR face a steep level-of-competition jump, but those drafted historically convert at lower rates than FBS peers
CONSENSUS RANK
#306
SHOULD BE
#294
// OUTLIER STAT
Incarnate Word (Southland) — 50 overall, 45 production, 56 athleticism
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Non-FBS prospects at WR face a steep level-of-competition jump, but those drafted historically convert at lower rates than FBS peers
CONSENSUS RANK
#356
SHOULD BE
#344
// OUTLIER STAT
Dartmouth (Ivy) — 50 overall, 45 production, 55 athleticism
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Non-FBS prospects at IOL face a steep level-of-competition jump, but those drafted historically convert at lower rates than FBS peers
CONSENSUS RANK
#390
SHOULD BE
#378
// OUTLIER STAT
North Dakota (FCS) — 53 overall, 45 production, 65 athleticism
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Non-FBS prospects at EDGE face a steep level-of-competition jump, but those drafted historically convert at lower rates than FBS peers
CONSENSUS RANK
#405
SHOULD BE
#393
// OUTLIER STAT
Ranked #16 but only 69 overall grade (production 85)
// HISTORICAL CONTEXT
First-round CBs have underperformed at a 31% rate (avg 4.5 AV/yr)
CONSENSUS RANK
#16
SHOULD BE
#23